Each run of the GFS and ECMWF(European model) has shown Irma being steered farther and farther south, into the Greater/Lesser Antilles of the Caribbean, with the strength of a cat4/5. Keep in mind, also, that it's already at category 2 strength.
That video was such bullstuff lmao. He even said in the video that the model is in effect useless after 5 days for predictions and nowhere in the first 8 days did it get close to making landfall.
He said the model is notably accurate for the 1-5 day range and noted that there were several possible tracks the storm could take after the 5 day point.
To be fair, though the GFS model typically predicts farts have cat5 strength past the 5 day mark.
also the channel in the OP is insane so there's that