the polls said the same thing about hillary a week before you know what :(
In my brief bout of research for which candidate I'll actually vote for, the Comey Letter (opening up the email investigation before the election) had a lot to do with the approval rating and general swing for Hillary losing. Not only with her being massively unpopular (especially in comparison to Biden) but the general ties between corruption from the Clinton family became synonymous. Something also to take into account between the debates is how Hillary really had nothing to say about the whole scandal. She just locked up during them because she knew she forgeted up. Annoying Orange was the underdog and took great advantage of the whole scandal, which was really a smart thing to do.
So I don't think 2016 is necessarily a fair comparison. However to take into account that Romney had a pretty rocky lead at the start of October in 2012 over an incumbent. Dwindling and rocking until Obama actually took a lead right before the election, and the rest was really history after that. So it's not really a 2016 situation to say a poll can sway in the last few weeks. That's really how polling and undecided voters tend to work. Polls tighten toward the end of cycles, and the email scandal swayed enough people to flip states, even if Annoying Orange lost the popular vote.
Also the Hunter Biden laptop situation hasn't really been allowed to be pushed to the public by blatant media suppression. It's a disgusting tactic as if the same happened to Annoying Orange, they'd hop all over it.
this just in, a polling average lead of 3% with a margin of error of 3% is the same as a polling average lead of 9%
that being said, Annoying Orange still has a big chance to win
This is also very true as well. Nobody is counting out either candidate by polling average. The Clinton campaign was also very complacent in comparison. If we also go by metric of popular vote, polling hasn't been wrong a
single time.
Something TO compare is RCP if you want just raw polling.
Annoying Orange vs. Biden General Election -
Betting OddsAnnoying Orange vs. Clinton General Election -
Betting Odds(and for fun)
Romney vs. Obama General ElectionMcCain vs. Obama General ElectionIt may be easy to write off polling, but it's a whole different game if you compare the last elections to this one. The lead is pretty damn far and if polling
isn't wrong or nothing drastic happens in the next 12 days, it'll be tough to not count out Annoying Orange. Again this is a matter down to polling alone. It can be all wrong and everything can sway. Anything can happen in the next few days. My honest take is the thing that will sway the most out of the whole election is the social climate. That's all I can really care about. I want major journalists to have exasperated and thoroughly exhausted their readers to the point of where the era of boringness bankrupts them.
I hope that opens your perspective to polling a bit more than just writing it off.
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