Author Topic: real weather update + blog: forgeted over in missouri (Read 656 times)

KillerCop311 · April 02, 2014, 05:55:57 PM

So today, after I went to school, around 11:50 AM the power went off. It stayed that way until after art (6th hour, around 1:00 PM). You know what's fun to do at lunch? Eat cold food!

The weather was bad today, but it's gonna get worse tomorrow. We already have a flash flood warning until 6 PM (5 minutes left), but after checking Weather.com, it says this:

I don't know if it's gonna be that bad, but at this rate it looks like it. So if you happening to be coming around the St. Louis area or coming to Missouri OR live there...

best of luck to you.

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Aide33 · April 02, 2014, 06:07:39 PM

it's still snowing here

I would trade water for snow

although in spring this year our whole city is going to flood again :u

Nonnel · April 02, 2014, 06:08:30 PM

we have a winter storm watch for friday just right after most of the snow melted

KillerCop311 · April 02, 2014, 06:09:59 PM

Quote from: Aide33 on April 02, 2014, 06:07:39 PM

it's still snowing here

I would trade water for snow

although in spring this year our whole city is going to flood again :u

i've had enough of snow
i don't want any more snow days

Georges · April 02, 2014, 07:10:28 PM

http://forum.blockland.us/index.php?topic=255155.0

XR correctly predicted hail today, I personally hope his predictions for tornadoes tomorrow is wrong.

Caution · April 02, 2014, 09:11:10 PM

We hit 70 last weekend and now theyre predicting 8"-14" of snow tomorrow through Friday. forgetin' Minnesota.

Also apparently Brookings, SD had a winter storm warning and a tornado watch simultaneously earlier this week.

Nonnel · April 02, 2014, 11:01:49 PM

Quote from: Nonnel on April 02, 2014, 06:08:30 PM

we have a winter storm watch for friday just right after most of the snow melted

it is now a winter storm warning :O!

Renekar · April 02, 2014, 11:07:25 PM

rip op

�l��kf�ce · April 02, 2014, 11:08:50 PM

Just rained over here today first time in a while

YayFun · April 02, 2014, 11:12:08 PM

We're supposed to have a storm too on the 8th. It's been so wet, I need to to go away. I need to plant my food.

[Maxx] · April 02, 2014, 11:34:32 PM

you guys need to get some REAL info
http://www.spc.noaa.gov
directly from the storm prediction center, this was put out by the national weather service.

Quote

SPC AC 021723

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1223 PM CDT WED APR 02 2014

   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

   ...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF SRN MO...AR...SRN
   IL...FAR WRN KY...WRN TN...NW MS AND FAR NRN LA...

   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ELSEWHERE FROM ERN PORTIONS OF
   THE ERN SRN PLAINS THROUGH THE LOWER AND MID MS VALLEY...TN VALLEY
   AND OH VALLEY...

   ...REGIONAL SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
   EVENING FROM SRN MO AND AR INTO THE WRN OH/TN VALLEY...

   ...SYNOPSIS...

   FORECAST MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT IN PLAINS TROUGH BECOMING NEUTRAL
   TO SLIGHTLY NEGATIVELY TILTED DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. A SFC LOW
   OVER SE KS THURSDAY MORNING WILL LIFT NEWD TOWARD NRN MO BY EVENING
   AND EVENTUALLY INTO SRN WI BY 12Z FRIDAY. DURING THE MORNING...A
   TRAILING SFC COLD FRONT ATTENDANT TO THE LOW WILL EXTEND ACROSS ERN
   KS INTO NWRN OK/TX AND WILL ADVANCE E/SEWD THROUGH THE
   DAY...EVENTUALLY OVERTAKING A DRYLINE EXTENDING SWD ACROSS ERN OK/TX
   BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. MEANWHILE...A WARM FRONT WILL
   EXTEND EWD FROM THE SFC LOW ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY TOWARD THE
   LOWER OH VALLEY AND QUICKLY TRACK NWD TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES REGION
   BY 00Z FRIDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO A LARGE MOIST/WARM SECTOR
   ENCOMPASSING THE MID TO LOWER MS VALLEY EWD TOWARD THE WRN OH/TN
   VALLEY.

   ...ERN SRN PLAINS THROUGH LOWER-MID MS VALLEY AND WRN TN VALLEY...

   LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS EWD PROGRESSION OF UPPER TROUGH MAY
   BE A TAD SLOWER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS...BUT OVERALL TRENDS REMAIN
   FAIRLY CONSISTENT. A LARGE WARM SECTOR CHARACTERIZED BY MID 60S
   DEWPOINTS WILL BE IN PLACE AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD. SOME
   EARLY ELEVATED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG WARM ADVECTION AND
   A WEAK UPPER IMPULSE IS POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER AND MID
   MS VALLEY...BUT SHOULD QUICKLY MOVE N AND E AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO
   BE A CONCERN FOR LATER AIRMASS DESTABILIZATION. BY AFTERNOON...STEEP
   MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES GREATER THAN 7 DEG C/KM ATOP SFC TEMPERATURES
   IN THE 70S TO NEAR 80 F AND MID 60S DEWPOINTS WILL RESULT IN
   MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE VALUES PROGGED NEAR
   1500-2500 J/KG. AS THE CAP ERODES WITH SFC HEATING...IT IS POSSIBLE
   A STORM OR TWO MAY DEVELOP IN THE WARM SECTOR ACROSS SE MO/ERN AR AS
   LOW LEVEL JET INCREASES BY LATE AFTERNOON. LARGE HAIL AND STRONG
   WINDS WOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS INITIALLY.
   HOWEVER...THE MAIN THREAT APPEARS TO BE FURTHER WEST FROM SW/S-CNTRL
   MO INTO NW/N-CNTRL AR JUST AHEAD OF EWD ADVANCING COLD FRONT. DEEP
   LAYER SHEAR AND LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR DISCRETE
   SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
   TORNADOES. AS THE FRONT QUICKLY SHIFTS EWD...LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL
   INCREASE AS WILL THE TORNADO THREAT. QUESTIONS REMAIN AS TO HOW LONG
   STORMS WILL REMAIN DISCRETE AS THE COLD FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE MORE
   QUICKLY EWD AS THE UPPER TROUGH BEGINS TO EJECT EWD...BUT AT LEAST A
   SMALL WINDOW EXISTS AROUND 00Z FOR DISCRETE CELLS.
   THEREAFTER...UPWARD GROWTH INTO ONE OR MORE QLCSS ARE EXPECTED TO
   DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS SE MO/ERN AR TOWARD THE WRN OH/TN VALLEY
   INTO THE EVENING...ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASING THREAT FOR DAMAGING
   WINDS.

   ...OH VALLEY...

   WIDESPREAD ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING
   AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD IN WARM/MOIST ASCENT IN THE VICINITY
   OF THE SFC WARM FRONT. AS THIS ACTIVITY SHIFTS EWD THROUGH THE
   DAY...LOW LEVEL WARM/MOIST ADVECTION AND INCREASING MIDLEVEL LAPSE
   RATES WILL LEAD TO DESTABILIZATION OF THE WARM SECTOR. AS LOW LEVEL
   JET INCREASES...STORMS MAY DEVELOP BY LATE AFTERNOON WITH LARGE HAIL
   BEING THE MAIN THREAT. THE DEVELOPING QLCS FURTHER TO THE W OVER
   MO/AR WILL EVENTUALLY TRACK EWD INTO THE REGION
   OVERNIGHT...ACCOMPANIED BY A DAMAGING WIND THREAT AND POSSIBLY A
   TORNADO.

   ..LEITMAN/BROYLES.. 04/02/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
   CURRENT UTC TIME: 0435Z (11:35PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME

possibility of damaging tornadoes for the heart of st. louis + people in the moderate risk area
hope you dont die :( im sailing up here in northern illinois

also
SRN plains means like
around the mdt risk area

Caution · April 03, 2014, 07:50:00 AM

Quote from: Nonnel on April 02, 2014, 11:01:49 PM

it is now a winter storm warning :O!

Hi MN brother <3

I like how in the warning, they say my town is supposed to get some of the highest amounts in the whole system. That never happens.

[Maxx] · April 03, 2014, 04:39:26 PM

tornado warning in effect at this time until five pm for springfield MO

Quote

000
WFUS53 KSGF 032132
TORSGF
MOC015-029-131-141-032200-
/O.NEW.KSGF.TO.W.0009.140403T2132Z-140403T2200Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
432 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN BENTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
NORTHWESTERN CAMDEN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
EXTREME WEST CENTRAL MILLER COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
SOUTHERN MORGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT

* AT 429 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 17 MILES WEST OF LAURIE...AND MOVING EAST AT 45
MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE
TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS
LIKELY.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BARNETT...BARNUMTON...CLIMAX SPRINGS...GRAVOIS MILLS...GREEN BAY
TERRACE...HASTAIN...HURRICANE DECK...KNOBBY...LAKEVIEW HEIGHTS...
LAURIE...OLD LINN CREEK...PURVIS...ROCKY MOUNT...SUNRISE BEACH AND
VILLAGE OF FOUR SEASONS.

THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES LAKE OF THE OZARKS STATE PARK AND LAKE OF
THE OZARKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT TAKE SHELTER UNDER HIGHWAY OVERPASSES. AS A LAST
RESORT...PARK YOUR VEHICLE AND STAY PUT.

&&

LAT...LON 3840 9267 3807 9263 3806 9313 3825 9322
TIME...MOT...LOC 2132Z 252DEG 40KT 3816 9309

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.75IN

$$

DSA