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[NEWS] Sheriff Joe Arpaio gets pardoned
Red Spy:
--- Quote from: McZealot on August 26, 2017, 02:49:59 PM ---the geriatric 70s-90s will be dying off.
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what is the rust belt
McZealot:
--- Quote from: Deus Ex on August 26, 2017, 03:02:05 PM ---Point being if you still rely on these polls to tell how an election is gonna go you're a loving handicap
I mean these are the same polls that said Hillary was almost guaranteed the presidency so if you still think those are valid you're out of your mind
I'm not gonna base any of my opinions off of these polls that also told me Annoying Orange had a 5% chance of winning right before he beat Hillary to death with his flaccid electoral vote rooster
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Annoying Orange's victory was extremely unlikely. How is it crazy to poll him at 5%? Everyone was surprised when he won because it was very unlikely to happen. The polls didn't say "Hillary has a 100% chance to win," they said they she was overwhelmingly likely to win--and she was.
But that's beside the point. He barely defeated the stufftiest Dem nominee in a century. Nobody likes Hillary. She's an extremely conservative and shady democrat who (while far better than the bumbling handicap in the white house we have now) is extremely unpopular among liberal democrats and youth.
How does defeating someone that just about everyone hates prop you up as a good candidate? Especially when everything else marks you as one of the least popular presidents in history.
SeventhSandwich:
--- Quote from: Deus Ex on August 26, 2017, 03:02:05 PM ---Point being if you still rely on these polls to tell how an election is gonna go you're a loving handicap
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The polls are still very predictive of the presidency. The fact that a less-likely outcome happened doesn't mean that they're useless. The whole point of predictive modeling isn't to say for 100% certainty what's going to happen, but to generate an accurate probability distribution.
--- Quote from: Deus Ex on August 26, 2017, 03:02:05 PM ---I mean these are the same polls that said Hillary was almost guaranteed the presidency so if you still think those are valid you're out of your mind
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538's weighted average gave Annoying Orange a 33% shot, so I don't know where you're getting the figure 'almost guaranteed' from.
That being said, I was certain Hillary would win, but I'm neither a pollster nor an objective source of information.
Nonnel:
"it's statistically improbable that this will happen"
*thing happens*
LOL YOU WERE WRONG
IkeTheGeneric:
--- Quote from: Deus Ex on August 26, 2017, 03:02:05 PM ---Point being if you still rely on these polls to tell how an election is gonna go you're a loving handicap
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Nice job rejecting math, genius