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NASA: 2012 myth debunked
Niliscro:
Problem is with mathematical probability such as with slot machines is that as you win more rolls in a row, your chances become even lower for the next roll.
Mateo:
--- Quote from: Niliscro on November 17, 2009, 03:41:53 PM ---Problem is with mathematical probability such as with slot machines is that as you win more rolls in a row, your chances become even lower for the next roll.
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No. No not at all. The probability for winning a bunch of times in a row gets smaller the more you expect to win, however no matter how many times you win the chance of you winning the next one is exactly the same.
Niliscro:
--- Quote from: Mateo on November 17, 2009, 03:44:47 PM ---No. No not at all. The probability for winning a bunch of times in a row gets smaller the more you expect to win, however no matter how many times you win the chance of you winning the next one is exactly the same.
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That's not mathematical. Believing your thoughts will affect the outcome is more or less mysticism/ESP. With a slot machine, if you have a 1/10 chance to win and you win 5 times in a row, you should lose the next 50 rolls.
Ryuu:
Im not sure if anyone has mentioned this yet, but the world isn't going to end according to the Mayan calender.
The human race is soposed to starte its 6th cycle, becasue we, and by we I mean the Mayans, think they angerd the gods, so they predicted when the gods would make new humans, and they came up with 2012. Apperently, the frist humans were mud people. The gods slowly shaped and stuff, and now we're here.
Mateo:
--- Quote from: Niliscro on November 17, 2009, 03:47:29 PM ---That's not mathematical. Believing your thoughts will affect the outcome is more or less mysticism/ESP. With a slot machine, if you have a 1/10 chance to win and you win 5 times in a row, you should lose the next 50 rolls.
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That isn't how it works, though. You will still have a 1/10 chance to win the next roll.
We are assuming he has already won all 100 rolls before. He has 1 roll left, which means he has a 1/10 chance to get that last roll.
However, the likelyhood of getting 101 wins in a row would be .1^101. This is different than getting 1 win after already getting 100 wins. assuming he has already gotten all 100 wins, the probability he would win the next would be (1^100)*.1, or 1/10.