Author Topic: Is the majority of your posts in the blue or in the white? (Read 4472 times)

Statistically speaking, assuming all your posts are replies to random previous posts (excluding OPs, cause those are always blue), the distribution of colors will go towards the probablity of each color, ie. 0.5, as the number of posts go to infinity.

In other words: yes really. Ideally speaking.

King Leo · May 15, 2013, 06:42:07 AM

Let's try to calculate it!
The number of topics is 191140, while the number of posts is 6318065. That means that each topic recieves 33.0546 replies on average. 17 (51.43%) of those replies are blue, 16.0546 (48.57%) are white. So if you have a large number of posts, and those are completely random, you can expect that 51.43 % of your posts are blue.

CopBlock · May 15, 2013, 06:48:09 AM

Quote from: King Leo on May 15, 2013, 06:33:21 AM

Statistically speaking, assuming all your posts are replies to random previous posts (excluding OPs, cause those are always blue), the distribution of colors will go towards the probablity of each color, ie. 0.5, as the number of posts go to infinity.

In other words: yes really. Ideally speaking.

except the word random still has meaning. its possible to flip a coin and only get heads, its the same here.

ThinkInvisible · May 15, 2013, 06:55:43 AM

Quote from: King Leo on May 15, 2013, 06:33:21 AM

Statistically speaking, assuming all your posts are replies to random previous posts (excluding OPs, cause those are always blue), the distribution of colors will go towards the probablity of each color, ie. 0.5, as the number of posts go to infinity.

In other words: yes really. Ideally speaking.

This is also known as the law of large numbers.

also I just made the mistake of looking at my first posts
dear god somebody kill me