Update:
Watching a churning mass of hard core thunderstorms that are going through Kansas and western Missouri. They seem to be heading northeast and may miss the area altogether, but I'm noticing the lower cells seem to have an eastward favor to them from the associated low pressure system. If any hit the area, expect heavy rain and large hail assuming they don't weaken. At night, there usually isn't much warm air aloft and there is naturally going to be more heat around the west curvature of the earth because the sun was heating it more recently. The storms may very well weaken anyway.
I'd give a 40% chance as of right now that the already existing storms will clip the area, with higher chances in the northern counties. If it does hit, it will be in the wee hours of the morning. I don't have speed readings currently, but I'd roughly estimate 2am-3am.
These storms are worse than the ones that came through today. There are more of them (approx. 10 cells compared to today's three), the hail cores are more prominent, most cells already have warnings on them, and to top it off, there was a tornado watch slapped onto it.
