maybe if everyone voted for a person they wanted rather than the better of two evils we wouldn't be in this mess...
strategic voting is pretty much necessary in an electoral system like we have. if everyone voted for who they actually wanted, it would definitely be better, but it's just not going to happen on a large scale. the fact that these are the least liked nominees in history makes this pretty interesting, because now stakes are even higher for a lot of people if they candidate they like least wins, which'll probably turn off a lot of people from third party votes because third parties are at an astounding disadvantage. at the same time a lot of people would rather take their chances with someone who's unlikely to win, but i imagine that's more of a minority of people, because people don't usually want to vote for losers
i think gary johnson has a better chance than a usual third party runner, but it's most likely that he's just going to act as a spoiler and force the currently republican-controlled house of representatives to decide (though it would be the newly elected house that decides so it may shift to the democrats, who knows), which nobody wants, except for maybe representatives
also here's the four-way polling right now:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_Annoying Orange_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_
vs_stein-5952.html
no real trends here standing out, but we'll see how things change after this DNC nonsense. keep in mind that good polls will usually have around a +/-3% error, probably more in this case