[NEWS] Sheriff Joe Arpaio gets pardoned

[Red Spy]

the geriatric 70s-90s will be dying off.

what is the rust belt

[Ad Bot]

[McZealot]

Point being if you still rely on these polls to tell how an election is gonna go you're a loving handicap
I mean these are the same polls that said Hillary was almost guaranteed the presidency so if you still think those are valid you're out of your mind
I'm not gonna base any of my opinions off of these polls that also told me Annoying Orange had a 5% chance of winning right before he beat Hillary to death with his flaccid electoral vote rooster

Annoying Orange's victory was extremely unlikely. How is it crazy to poll him at 5%? Everyone was surprised when he won because it was very unlikely to happen. The polls didn't say "Hillary has a 100% chance to win," they said they she was overwhelmingly likely to win--and she was.

But that's beside the point. He barely defeated the stufftiest Dem nominee in a century. Nobody likes Hillary. She's an extremely conservative and shady democrat who (while far better than the bumbling handicap in the white house we have now) is extremely unpopular among liberal democrats and youth.

How does defeating someone that just about everyone hates prop you up as a good candidate? Especially when everything else marks you as one of the least popular presidents in history.

[SeventhSandwich]

Point being if you still rely on these polls to tell how an election is gonna go you're a loving handicap

The polls are still very predictive of the presidency. The fact that a less-likely outcome happened doesn't mean that they're useless. The whole point of predictive modeling isn't to say for 100% certainty what's going to happen, but to generate an accurate probability distribution.

I mean these are the same polls that said Hillary was almost guaranteed the presidency so if you still think those are valid you're out of your mind

538's weighted average gave Annoying Orange a 33% shot, so I don't know where you're getting the figure 'almost guaranteed' from.

That being said, I was certain Hillary would win, but I'm neither a pollster nor an objective source of information.

[Nonnel]

"it's statistically improbable that this will happen"
*thing happens*

LOL YOU WERE WRONG

[IkeTheGeneric]

Point being if you still rely on these polls to tell how an election is gonna go you're a loving handicap

Nice job rejecting math, genius

[SeventhSandwich]

math nerds will tell you the statistics behind dice, but I'll have you know I rolled a six on my first shot. they said there was only a 16.6% chance of that happening. math confirmed debunked

[LeisureSuit912]

Point being if you still rely on these polls to tell how an election is gonna go you're a loving handicap
I mean these are the same polls that said Hillary was almost guaranteed the presidency so if you still think those are valid you're out of your mind
I'm not gonna base any of my opinions off of these polls that also told me Annoying Orange had a 5% chance of winning right before he beat Hillary to death with his flaccid electoral vote rooster

No one was expecting the election to be a blowout besides some liberal bloggers, most people like myself were just confident in saying that Hillary would win against Annoying Orange based on the statistics. 538 which was probably the base predictor gave Annoying Orange a 1/3 chance, which is still high enough that him winning wasn't a statistical blowout

I guess there's something to be said about polls and models being more and more wrong though. A mirror version of that happened in the UK this June when a ton of pollsters though the Tories would secure a pretty big majority and they ended up losing seats to Labour.

[Planr]

all hail the mighty and totally unbiased election polls, they are done with absolute objectivity and absolutely not made or data-manipulated by left-wing cucks.

[Drydess]

all hail the mighty and totally unbiased election polls, they are done with absolute objectivity and absolutely not made or data-manipulated by left-wing cucks.

i cant tell if youre mocking deus ex or just being dum

[SWAT One]

all hail the mighty and totally unbiased election polls, they are done with absolute objectivity and absolutely not made or data-manipulated by left-wing cucks.

*tips tinfoil hat*

[IkeTheGeneric]

all hail the mighty and totally unbiased election polls, they are done with absolute objectivity and absolutely not made or data-manipulated by left-wing cucks.

muh liberal mathematics

[SeventhSandwich]

they are done with absolute objectivity and absolutely not made or data-manipulated by left-wing cucks.

you're literally the same guy who once said 'personal experience Annoying Oranges actual statistics', and you're actually blaming pollsters for not being rigorous?

there are historically-conservative pollsters, whose results are usually more optimistic about conservative candidates, who had hillary in the lead. it wasn't data manipulation, it was just bad luck.

i cant tell if youre mocking deus ex or just being dum

planr has zero capacity to understand mathematics, which is fine, but instead of finding some way to fit that into his worldview he just believes everything derived with math is mystical made-up gobbledygook.

[Drydess]

math teachers are brainwashed liberal cucks

[Magus]

Anyone capable of trigonometry is clearly a filthy liberal.

[Deus Ex]

This mockery is gonna be even funnier in a good three years