Author Topic: PSA for everyone currently in Illinois  (Read 1492 times)

As of right now there are two tornado watches in effect for all of northen to extreme central illinois and there have been several lines of storms.
Current tornado risk as of 3PM

Current outlook for April 9th, 2015
Quote
   ...THERE IS AN ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE ARKLATEX NORTHEAST
   INTO THE SRN GREAT LAKES/LOWER OH VALLEY...

   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE ENH AREA FROM E
   TX INTO THE UPPER OH VALLEY...WV AND WRN PA...

   ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE ABOVE AREAS
   FROM S CENTRAL TX TO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...

   ...SUMMARY...
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TODAY INTO TONIGHT OVER A BROAD
   SWATH FROM PARTS OF TEXAS NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE LOWER AND
   MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND SOUTHERN GREAT
   LAKES. THESE WILL PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND...HAIL...AND A FEW
   TORNADOES...ONE OR TWO OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG.

   ...MID-MS VLY TO SRN GRT LKS...AND LWR OH VLY TO E TX/LWR MS VLY...
   NO CHANGES ARE NEEDED WITH THIS OUTLOOK ISSUANCE FOR THE SLIGHT AND
   ENH AREAS...AS PREVIOUS FORECAST DISCUSSION REMAINS ON TRACK FOR
   THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.  THE GENERAL TSTM AREA AND MARGINAL
   SEVERE RISK AREA HAVE BEEN TRIMMED EWD SOME ACROSS WRN MO AND
   NERN-SRN OK...GIVEN THE ADVANCEMENT OF THE COLD FRONT.

   ...UPR OH VLY/CNTRL APPALACHIANS...
   THE ERN PART OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA HAS BEEN EXPANDED EWD TO
   INCLUDE MORE OF WV AND INTO WRN PA...WHERE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
   THREATS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  OBJECTIVE brown townYSES
   INDICATED MUCH OF THE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS SRN OH INTO WV AND PARTS OF
   WRN PA HAS CONTINUED TO DESTABILIZE THIS AFTERNOON.  THIS COMBINED
   WITH AN INCREASE IN EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A
   THREAT FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS.

   ...SC...
   GIVEN RECENT CONVECTIVE/TSTM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE SEA BREEZE...THE
   GENERAL TSTM AREA HAS BEEN EXPANDED EWD SOME TO ACCOUNT FOR ANY
   ADDITIONAL TSTMS.

   ..PETERS.. 04/09/2015

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 AM CDT THU APR 09 2015/

   ...SYNOPTIC SETUP...
   PROGRESSIVE...MULTI-STREAM FLOW WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CNTRL AND ERN
   U.S. THIS PERIOD...DOWNSTREAM FROM WRN STATES SPLIT. STRONG
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW EXITING THE CNTRL HIGH PLNS SHOULD ACCELERATE
   ENE INTO ERN IA THIS EVE...BEFORE FURTHER ACCELERATING AND TURNING
   NE TO NEAR SSM EARLY FRI AS NRN BRANCH IMPULSE AMPLIFIES SE INTO MN.
   AT THE SAME TIME...WEAKER LEAD DISTURBANCE NOW CROSSING THE OZARKS
   SHOULD MOVE NE INTO THE MID-OH VLY BY THIS EVE...AND INTO NY/PA
   EARLY FRI...AS DEEP SWLY FLOW STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE E-CNTRL AND ERN
   U.S.

   AT THE SFC...NW MO LOW EXPECTED TO DEEPEN NEWD INTO SRN WI BY THIS
   EVE...AND UNDERGO FURTHER DEEPENING AS IT REACHES THE SSM AREA EARLY
   FRI. COLD FRONT TRAILING SSW FROM THE LOW SHOULD STRENGTHEN AND
   ACCELERATE E ACROSS THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND OZARKS BY LATE
   TODAY...AND INTO THE UPR OH...TN...AND LWR MS VLYS EARLY FRI...WHILE
   MORE DIFFUSE WARM FRONT ADVANCES N INTO LWR MI.

   IN SUMMARY...THE OVERALL SET-UP SUPPORTS A BROAD AREA WITH AN
   APPRECIABLE RISK FOR SVR WEATHER LATER TODAY THROUGH EARLY FRI...BUT
   WITH MITIGATING FACTORS THAT LIKELY WILL KEEP THE CORRIDORS OF
   GREATEST RISK SOMEWHAT FRAGMENTED AND MULTI-MODAL.

   ...MID-MS VLY TO SRN GRT LKS THIS AFTN THROUGH EARLY TNGT...
   SEVERAL FACTORS MAY COMBINE TO YIELD A MESOSCALE CORRIDOR OF
   SOMEWHAT ENHANCED SVR THREAT...INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR A COUPLE
   STRONG TORNADOES...OVER THE ERN IA/NE MO/NRN IL/SRN WI AREA LATER
   TODAY INTO EARLY TNGT. PERSISTENT HEIGHT FALLS ACROSS
   REGION...LARGELY DUE TO AMPLIFICATION OF UPSTREAM...LARGER-SCALE
   TROUGH...WILL OFFSET SINKING/DESCENT OCCURRING IN WAKE OF LEAD UPR
   IMPULSE AND EMBEDDED MCV NOW CROSSING THE OZARKS. AT THE SAME
   TIME...SATELLITE SUGGESTS LIKELIHOOD FOR AT LEAST MODEST SFC HEATING
   AHEAD OF COLD FRONT AND DEEPENING SFC LOW APPROACHING FROM NW MO.

   WITH 700 MB SWLY WINDS INCREASING TO AOA 60 KTS ATOP 40+ KT SSW FLOW
   AT 850 MB...HODOGRAPHS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINED SUPERCELLS
   WITH LARGE HAIL. THE DIRECTIONAL COMPONENT TO LOW-LVL SHEAR LIKELY
   WILL NOT BE GREAT. BUT COMBINATION OF STRENGTHENING FLOW AND
   EXPECTED BACKING OF NEAR-SFC WINDS/ENHANCED SRH IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF
   SFC LOW SUGGEST THAT A CORRIDOR OF HEIGHTENED TORNADO POTENTIAL
   COULD EVOLVE LATER THIS AFTN...BEFORE THE STORMS MERGE INTO BROKEN
   LINES/SMALL CLUSTERS EARLY TNGT. ALTHOUGH CLOUDS AND SHOWERS MAY
   DELAY NWD ADVANCE OF WARM FRONT ACROSS IL/IND...STRENGTHENING SFC
   PRESSURE FALLS/TRACK OF SFC LOW FURTHER INDICATE THAT THE SVR THREAT
   COULD EXTEND NWD INTO SRN WI AND SW LWR MI...WITH DMGG WINDS
   BECOMING THE DOMINANT THREAT OVER TIME.

   ...LWR OH VLY SW INTO E TX/LWR MS VLY LATE TODAY THROUGH EARLY
   FRI...

   SFC HEATING AND UPLIFT ALONG COLD FRONT AND PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE
   AXES EXPECTED TO INITIATE TSTMS LATER TODAY THROUGH TNGT AS EML CAP
   IS BROKEN. ALTHOUGH WIND FIELDS WILL BE WEAKER RELATIVE TO POINTS
   N...AMPLE /40+ KT/ WSWLY DEEP SHEAR WILL EXIST FOR SUSTAINED
   STORMS/SUPERCELLS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE LWR OH AND TN VLYS. GIVEN
   FAIRLY RICH MOISTURE AVAILABILITY /PW AOA 1.50 INCHES/...IN THEIR
   EARLY STAGES THESE STORMS COULD YIELD LARGE HAIL AND A FEW
   TORNADOES. WITH TIME...DEGREE OF LOW-LVL FORCING SHOULD RESULT INTO
   AMALGAMATION OF CONVECTION INTO AN EXTENSIVE...BROKEN SQLN. EMBEDDED
   LEWPS AND BOWING STRUCTURES LIKELY WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A SLOWLY
   DIMINISHING RISK FOR DMGG WIND INTO EARLY FRI.

   ...UPR OH LY/CNTRL APPALACHIANS THIS AFTN/EVE...
   A CONDITIONAL RISK WILL EXIST FOR LOOSELY-ORGANIZED CLUSTERS OF
   MAINLY MULTICELL STORMS WITH HAIL AND LOCALLY DMGG WIND THIS AFTN
   OVER PARTS OF OH...KY AND WRN SLOPES OF THE CNTRL
   APPALACHIANS...WHERE SFC HEATING WILL FURTHER DESTABILIZE REGION OF
   MODEST LOW-LVL MOISTURE AND MID-LVL INSTABILITY. SOME OF THIS
   ACTIVITY COULD ARISE FROM EXISTING AREAS OF ELEVATED CONVECTION NOW
   OVER PARTS OF THE REGION...WITH OTHER STORMS INITIATED BY
   DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ALONG RESIDUAL SFC BOUNDARIES. MOST OF THE
   STORMS SHOULD WEAKEN WITH NIGHTFALL...ALTHOUGH PARTS OF THE OH VLY
   COULD EXPERIENCE A SECOND ROUND OF STORMS LATE TNGT AS MID MS VLY
   COLD FRONT APPROACHES REGION.
Current Tornado Watches
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/

Tornado Watch #39 (west illinois into eastern iowa)

Quote
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 39
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   100 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

   * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
     SOUTHEAST IOWA
     WESTERN ILLINOIS
     NORTHERN MISSOURI

   * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 100 PM UNTIL
     800 PM CDT.

   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
     SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
       TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
     SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
       TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHEAST OF CEDAR
   RAPIDS IOWA TO 5 MILES SOUTH OF COLUMBIA MISSOURI.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
   UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

   &&

   DISCUSSION...DISCRETE CELLS FORMING ALONG A COLD FRONT AND SURFACE
   CYCLONE WILL INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON WITH LARGE HAIL AND A FEW
   TORNADOES THE PRIMARY INITIAL HAZARDS.

   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.

Tornado Watch #41 (affects central and Northeast illinois)

Quote
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 41
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   150 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

   * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
     NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ILLINOIS
     FAR NORTHWEST INDIANA
     FAR SOUTHERN WISCONSIN
     LAKE MICHIGAN

   * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 150 PM UNTIL
     1100 PM CDT.

   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
     SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
       TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
     SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5
       INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF
   MILWAUKEE WISCONSIN TO 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DECATUR ILLINOIS.
   FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 39...WW 40...

   DISCUSSION...TWO ROUNDS OF SEVERE CONVECTION ARE EXPECTED WITH
   INITIAL STORMS IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS DEVELOPING E/NE AND ADDITIONAL
   STORMS ALONG A FRONTAL ZONE. BOTH AREAS WILL HAVE STRONG DEEP-LAYER
   SHEAR SUPPORTING RISKS FOR A FEW TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
   WINDS.

   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.

There is currently a severe line of storms in Eastern Iowa expected to gain strength and move into Northeast/Most of Illinois
Please take caution and be safe, thank you.

Im in Massachusetts, safe from the storms <3.

(as of now, before it was terrible)

Oh yeah I hope nobody dies :C
« Last Edit: April 09, 2015, 04:31:16 PM by NessNet »


maxx are you frankie macdonald

Gasconade, Montgomery, and Pike counties (all MO) are in my news stations' listening areas. They've been at the bottom of the TV screen for hours now. A severe storm came through last night dropping 1" hail all over my house. Another storm crashed through around 5am. Five rounds of severe storms in three days now, and possibly more tonight.

Also, the road that I used to escape the tornado warning yesterday was several feet underwater this morning and afternoon, and afaik it still is.


maxx are you frankie macdonald
People of Illinois, be prepared. Order your pizzas and order your Chinese food and five cases of pop because it’s going to be a terrible tornado to hit Illinois... have your iPads and your iPhones charged just in case the power goes out... do your grocery shopping right now. Don’t wait for the last minute. Do it RIGHT NOW.

We just had the giantest downpour of my life.

Lightning went off a few miles away, it was like someone took a picture with flash in my room. So so bright. The thunder was super loud too.

Widespread tornado watch just issued for me.

ATTENTION CITIZENS OF ILLINOIS

Widespread tornado watch just issued for me.

ironic icons [1]

yeah i'm in lee county atm and we have tornado watches

it concerns me that I'm in Peoria and we heard nothing whatsoever about this at the university.

Update: The Rochelle area had an EF4 tornado last night.

can we stop with the PSAs god damn