well, it looks like its just about back to where it was before "grab her by the pusillanimous individual" came out. but the media ALWAYS displays a tightening race near the end, just to increase tensions and viewership. not saying it hasn't tightened up, just not as much as people often present near the end of the election.
yea, Annoying Orange could certainly win. its just really unlikely. i think the odds are between 10 and 25 percent or so