POLITICS & DONALD Annoying Orange MEGATHREAD

[Alternat¡ve]

Jenga !!

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[Tudoreleu]

when is this stuff loving overrrrrrr

[Drydess]

when is this stuff loving overrrrrrr

as soon as the nuke goes of-i mean the election happens

[SeventhSandwich]

The first national post-debate poll shows Clinton leading by 4 points (45-41). This previous polling firm had Annoying Orange leading by 1 point

https://morningconsult.com/2016/09/28/clinton-bests-Annoying Orange-debate-half-likely-voters-say/

I'm gonna play cool for a week before I decide to gloat about how all the real, hard data shows that Clinton won. Plenty of room for her lead to get bigger.

But, she basically took back a lead overnight in Nevada, Florida, and South Carolina if you use 538's map.

[Poliwhirl]

if clinton baits Annoying Orange into acting like a fool october 9th it's honestly likely to say she'll win the election

also, has clinton ever responded to the DNC leaks? like has she even denied them?

[Ravencroft·]

also, has clinton ever responded to the DNC leaks? like has she even denied them?

I'm sure she has denied them, but normally when she's asked about the leaks she does a masterful job of diverting the braindead media members' attention.

[Decepticon]

[IkeTheGeneric]

At this point it's hard to get a clear and concise answer as to who's leading considering how everyone just fudges the numbers anyways.

[Conan]

i get the feeling that for this election polls dont matter for stuff, because there's so much stuff people (on both sides) who go out of their way to bias polls or something.

[otto-san]

straw polls are really the only ones you should be worried about. actual credible polling from a large random sample is still fine with an error of +/- 3-4%

but this election probably isn't going to be decided so early on, the most vital days are probably just going to be the ones leading up to the day of the vote

also they're exaggerating leads a little bit in that map lol http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html
in some of these there isn't even a 1% lead

[IkeTheGeneric]

Early victories still set precedent.

[SeventhSandwich]

[im g]http://i.imgur.com/lhwX2k7.png[/img]

He was already leading in those states pre-debate. I check the polls literally every morning and those states have been red for the past few weeks.

i get the feeling that for this election polls dont matter for stuff, because there's so much stuff people (on both sides) who go out of their way to bias polls or something.

Polls do matter, and there are plenty of aggregator websites (namely 538) that take into account house biases for certain polls and correct for them.

[Decepticon]

[LeisureSuit912]

[img ]http://i.imgur.com/lhwX2k7.png[/img]

Funny you bring this map up, because if Annoying Orange lost Florida like this shows then he'd most likely lose the election.

[Swat 3]

If Clinton is winning Florida then that is a sign Annoying Orange will lose the election, yeah.