http://forum.blockland.us/index.php?topic=204596.0

[tikitai]

you'd have to spend $249 if you want to make sure you get an unusual :C

no not really
you'd have to spend much, much more

[Ad Bot]

[Daedalus]

no not really
you'd have to spend much, much more

both of you are wrong, lol.
you can't decide "you HAVE to spend this much"
I could buy one loving key and open up a burning birdcage (oh god in heaven please)
but still
chance doesn't work by static numbers

[tikitai]

both of you are wrong, lol.
you can't decide "you HAVE to spend this much"
I could buy one loving key and open up a burning birdcage (oh god in heaven please)
but still
chance doesn't work by static numbers

damn, you sure you passed math?

[Volko]

BUYING A STRANGE DEGREASER GO GO GO

[dkamm65]

damn, you sure you passed math?

He's not wrong. You have the same odds every time you open a crate, so there is no set amount you need to spend to guarantee getting an unusual. You could unbox 100 items and get none, or you could get one with a single key. Even though the odds are extremely low, it's completely possible to get 5 in a row.

BUYING A STRANGE DEGREASER GO GO GO

hi

http://www.tf2b.com/item/76561198013239354/589278986

[tikitai]

He's not wrong. You have the same odds every time you open a crate, so there is no set amount you need to spend to guarantee getting an unusual. You could unbox 100 items and get none, or you could get one with a single key.

hi

http://www.tf2b.com/item/76561198013239354/589278986

yeah but there is a way to find the MAX amount of crates you will need to open to get a unusual

i was just correcting jairo

[dkamm65]

yeah but there is a way to find the MAX amount of crates you will need to open to get a unusual

i was just correcting jairo

No there isn't. There is no max. You could open enough to bring your odds up to 99%, but that is still not a guarantee. It never will be.

[Daedalus]

yeah but there is a way to find the MAX amount of crates you will need to open to get a unusual

i was just correcting jairo

no guarantees
dammit dkamm

[Volko]

He's not wrong. You have the same odds every time you open a crate, so there is no set amount you need to spend to guarantee getting an unusual. You could unbox 100 items and get none, or you could get one with a single key. Even though the odds are extremely low, it's completely possible to get 5 in a row.

hi

http://www.tf2b.com/item/76561198013239354/589278986

added

[Jairo]

if you were to unlock 100 crates
it would cost 249 dollars
meaning you're trying a 1/100 chance of getting an unusual

[Daedalus]

if you were to unlock 100 crates
it would cost 249 dollars
meaning you're trying a 1/100 chance of getting an unusual

if you open 100 crates it's not a 1/100 chance of getting an unusual y'know

[MyNameIsYou]

If your lucky you will open 100 crates and get 100 unusuals

[MyNameIsYou]

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/1045517

[dkamm65]

Volko tracked me down and joined the server I was on. I told him I wasn't trading it, and I was only mocking him with the post. He proceeded to cry, call me a lil weaboo bitch (or something), then ragequit. I had a hearty chuckle.

[Regulith]

if you were to unlock 100 crates
it would cost 249 dollars
meaning you're trying a 1/100 chance of getting an unusual

You're assuming perfect world in your probability

In reality that's not how it works